Stupidity and incompetence has it's place as a source of comic relief in a chaotic universe, but not at The Top. Trumpism significantly increases the risk of a "black swan event"  that would precipitate truly serious crises. Stupidity and incompetence are subjective values.






A black swan is an event or occurrence  is one that deviates beyond what is normally expected of a situation and is extremely difficult to predict; the term was popularized by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Black swan events are typically random and are unexpected and apply to happenings in history, science, finance, and technology. Such  non-computable events are considered extreme outliers. Taleb suggested that these rare consequential events events blind people, individually and collectively, to uncertainty and to a rare event's massive role in historical affairs.




But there clearly is a case that Trump has problems of perception. Early on he insisted that he had gleaned more of the popular vote than Hillary.


There certainly is a bit of denial in his makeup. whether that correlates with outright stupidity is less certain. But constant denial can be pretty ugly in its own way.

Speaking of which, Canadian performer Paul Anka who had at first accepted a spot in the programme, backed down because of fan protest at home.




Humpty Trumpty looked, at best, distracted at times during his inauguration.  Don't know why, even Forrest Gump was rooting for him.



It might have been that ugly weather forecast and as certain, as certain, as certain the rains came on schedule.



But somehow Donnie remained dry. That's alternate truth for you, a slight post scriptum modification of the past.



Since coming to power WeeD has performed some reverse engineering of foreign policy. He did not see NATO as a financial cooperative finally and seemed to hope it might collapse with Britain Brexited.




Different stroke for different folks, but the Union of Socialist Soviet Republics and the British Empire had their glory days if nor true greatness.  What would today's unwashed masses want? A greater Great Britain and "Make Russia Great Again."



There was a time, not long ago when Putin and Trump were pals. One analyst has stated that "Ukraine is small-ball. What Putin really wants is all of Eastern Europe." Preferably without resorting to fire balls.  But,

"The Baltic States are defended by NATO, which really is only as good as America's word. And Trump recently said that America's word with regard to its allies might be up for grabs."





"Of course, Putin is never going to straight-up invade. However, "insurgencies" might cause "pro-Russian" governments to sprout up in those countries. In the face of American inaction, more and more countries leave NATO and go under the Russian umbrella." And that prediction was made before the missile attack on Syria, which still prove to have been an embryonic black swan event. Being a politician  up for election in next year, Putin may exercise caution. The Russian economy is looking vulnerable, and anti-corruption protesters are at large,  so the last thing Putin needs is to a protracted war in Syria and a nuclear standoff with the US


Early on, Tr
ump made it clear that he was not comfortable with Beijing's "One China" policy and was hoping to get concessions on trade. China's leadership must noted the administration's lack of appetite for defending its international commitments. They may have felt well-placed to harass or even invade Taiwan. And then?An admission that America was not longer a global cop and superpower and the collapse of the post-Cold War international order. Either scenario wight be the black swan for World War III.



This change veering away from some of the American heartland
. Donald Trump gave the order for the launch of those 59 tomahawk cruise missiles aimed at a Syrian air base said to house the chemical agents used in the attack, as he  hosted Mr Xi at his Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. At that meeting he pressed Mr Xi to do more to curb North Korea's nuclear programme, and the meeting was largely judged to be a success in both China and America. Wee Donnie tweeted that the affair has been, "tremendous... goodwill and friendship was formed."


Cordiality was missing from the response issued by Russia and Iran to the cruise missile strike. China’s Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Hua Chunying “China has always called against using military force in international relations and for preserving territorial sovereignty. It is up to the Syrian people to decide on Syria’s future.” The alliance supporting the Syrian President warned the US they would “respond with force” if their own “red lines” were crossed in that country.


"He's only a pig in a gilded cage, a pitiful sight to see..." While wooing the electorate Donniker showed no interest in removing Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and fantasized repeatedly about a Russian/US  alliance to defeat ISIS in Syria and Iraq. If this was a one-off attack not much will change but Trump is completely unpredictable, a wild cannon as they used to say. It is guessed that Trump was reactive to a Fox News airing and that what he ordered was impulsive and emotional. The scary part of this is Trump's ignorance of anything beyond his protected world.



Ben Franklin's political cartoon was great for rallying locals to join the American Revolution, but is not a great idea in terms of current foreign policy. His insistence that Russia should abandon support of Assad suggests he may continue to act like the new. Bruce Abramson and Jeff Ballabon. Abramson insist that, "The message to Assad, Putin, and the world was clear: There's a new Sheriff in town." And if one has a "Blondie" mentality you know what that implies.


 
According to a Huffington Post/YouGov poll, a slim majority comprising 51%, said they supported the strike. Another 32% said they were opposed, while 17% were uncertain. Fifty-seven percent of respondents approved of Thursday’s air strike, according to a CBS News poll released Monday. Along party lines, 84% of Republicans and 40% of Democrats supported the move. Understandable for a revolutionary nation devoted to the peculiar "right to bear arms." Those that did no "join" fled to Canada and their ancestors live north of the border, where firearms are still seen as a questionable means of settling differences. As a kid Rod carried a Winchester 22 freely without adult supervision, but we were taught not to misuse that privilege.  It is a smaller world today and more tightly packed and less empathetic, so only people who need them to subsist and bad guys and gals carry them.

This is like Rod insisting he is capable of being supreme commander because he could shot and not mishandle a rife and because he served for four years in the Carleton-York Cadet Corp. That last mentioned poll, conducted by phone  sampled 1,006 adults across the country with a four-point margin of error. That last poll also showed that while Americans were reactive in very human manner they are not fools:  7 out of 10 people said Trump needed approval from Congress before pursuing further military action in the war-torn country, and 54% indicated they were uneasy with Trump’s ability to tackle the Syria situation.


Citizens of the United States should be aware that Assad may see Trump's action as a misstep. Zeeshad Aleem warns that there is a scenario in which he challenges the US by carrying out chemical attacks on civilians again. Trump would then have to decide if he wants to hold back or retaliate. And if Assad becomes a repeat offender, Trump probably would feel obligated to respond in order to ensure he doesn’t look weak.
If Trump decides to escalate the use of force against him dramatically and becomes fully involved in a war against Assad, a fight with Putin would follow. Zeeshan Aleem is an Associate Editor at The Huffington Post. He has previous experience at BBC News, TheAtlantic.com, and POLITICO.



Prior to the election one final poll gave WeeD a 40% chance of becoming Pres. How much of a coincidence is that? But, lets leave of disaster movies like "Hitchhiker's Guide" for a bit.




Anyone with a smidgen of social conscience has to have been offended by Donald's misuse is meant to be abuse approach to dealing with opponents including Republicans. If you think that shoe leaves a bad taste in his mouth, consider the many offensive and negative comments that have come from his mouth.


Donald has shown no respect for anyone he perceives as opposition. Some have excused his ugliness saying it was all for show or because his ego made him do it. He has so many non-friends he can't remember them all, but that crowd out there will likely remember his lies and innuendo. An GOP elephants will probably never forget or forgive.



But Trump be careful of adoring confederates who may be more complete psychopaths than you can imagine. The Stand is a post-apocalyptic horror/fantasy novel by American author Stephen King. It expands upon the scenario of his earlier short story "Night Surf" and outlines the total breakdown of society. While the antihero Randall Flagg is a supernatural shape-changer with money, women and a gift for gab, he ends by being incinerated in a nuclear explosion by a true mad man.




WeeD may have narrowly escaped a similar fate, except that his ego wouldn't not allow the presence of a "friend" who might be pulling some of his motivational strings.


And this trashcan of
a man did give Trump very bad advice.



Bannon has to be remembered as a true believer in The Fourth Turning.  Google that one for some fearful fun.  Ugly, ugly, ugly.



The message: Don't push back to hard or you'll be staked or dusted, whether Republican or Democrat.



A little levity is perhaps needed. Here's a brief look at how eastern civilization was nearly destroyed.



That's right, both Republican and Democrat think-tanks boiled over with ugliness.




As we have said Al Capp and Donald Trump had similar characteristics, shaped by the fact that they were outsiders, but the former had the good grace to use the comic strip as his stage.



So where's the beef? Well not in the stockyards if you have Shmoos. True egalitarianism  was soon seen to affect every shark in the tank filled with wealthy businessmen.



These good ole boys did what was necessary to protect common folk from their own unnatural ways.
Moonbeam McSwine was the recalcitrant, pipe-smoking female.


Creeping authoritarianism. We live in the realm of three felonies
It is an irony that a communications technology finally killed them all.  That could be construed as some sort of prediction?


Maybe there are still Shmoos cowering in the American outback.





Al Capp was introspective enough to know he suffered from duality, and he introduced the Nogoodnik as the alter ego of the Shmoo.



Capp was himself and unconventional capitalist; a rather fortune-ate fellow. He had all kinds of connections with businesses he lampooned.



Capp was a rebel with all kinds of causes, some related to real life experiences. In his comic strip within a comic strip he often took down the police and assertive women.



Here, Fearless Fosdick attempts to arrest an old enemy who is dead.  In true hero/antihero fashion he weeps for loss of the game, but wondering how the dead can speak returns to the apartment and attempts to shake-down a phonograph recording.  Abner Asks why Fosdick keeps getting into "predickymunys" and his girl friend Daisy Mae responds, "Stupid things happen t'stupid people." Seems plausible.



Sometimes other cartoonists borrowed his character lampooning Fosdick.  Again, we have seen evidence of this problem in authoritative places.



It appears that these personality and physical characteristics persist?



Li'l Abner and Daisy Mae's singular lives went on for decades before she finally trapped and married him.  Capp had a somewhat jaundiced view of smart women.




Tiring of her beauty and the stupid beast role, she sometimes seemed ready for an attachment to a less manly man. One of Trumps trophies had a different imperfection related to a different orifice. Ugly and sad! Too bad?




Jeff Sessions is a living, breathing caricature. He is Trump's appointee as Attorney General. As the chief legal officer of the the United States, he serve as counselors to their legislatures and state agencies and also as the "People's Lawyer" for all citizens. The attorney general is perhaps the most powerful man in the country. In addition to having a frightful memory he has strange views on immigrants. He can instigate legal action on behalf of the Feds.




One worry-wart has asked, "What will press coverage look like when owners of the press are, each in turn, threatened with invasive prosecution and discovery?" That Trumped up Attorney General can do that.




This same reporter asked, "If President Trump starts passing executive orders that go even beyond Obama's turn towards Caesarism, is a Republican Congress really going to stand athwart history yelling stop, when it has thus far shown practically zero appetite for curbing executive branch authoritarianism?" Like Trump, Warbucks was a go-it-alone billionaire, a lone ranger policing world affairs and taking down perceived bad guys. His adopted kid had a way more spunk than Trump's children foraging for themselves whenever Daddy went incognito. Warbucks could be a caricature of Trump once he loses the rest of that blown up hair.

 


This writer adds, "Again, it is probably Trump's own incompetence that most likely stands between us and creeping fascism. In one way it is a formidable obstacle; in another, it is a remarkably flimsy one.." Conrad Black has had a long association with this newspaper and holds conservative views.

 


Black once controlled more newspapers than God until his board of directors took him to court in the United States for misuse of $80 million in assets.

"He was convicted of three counts of fraud and one count of obstruction of justice in a U.S. court in 2007 and sentenced to six and a half years' imprisonment. In 2011, two of the charges were overturned on appeal and he was re-sentenced to 42 months in prison on one count of mail fraud and one count of obstruction of justice. Black was released on 4 May 2012..."  Wikipedia.



All quotes by Scott Adams. In the 2016 U.S. presidential election, Adams drew attention for his early prediction that Donald Trump would defeat all Republican primary challengers and win the general election in a "landslide".

 

Following, his most telling comment addressed at candidate Clinton:
"...If you’re an undecided voter, and male, you’re seeing something different. You’re seeing a celebration that your role in society is permanently diminished. And it’s happening in an impressive venue that was, in all likelihood, designed and built mostly by men."



His blog repeatedly praised Donald Trump's persuasion skills, detailing facets of his personality he called Trump's "talent stack". Nevertheless he switched allegiance several times finally admitting that Donald Trump "ended my speaking career, and has already reduced my income by about 40%, as far as I can tell. But I’m in less physical danger than I was." He should have stuck to lampooning conditions in the office workplace, although he is out of touch, having last been employed there in 1986. There are ugly edges for people of varied political belief.




Arnie became an unexpectedly good motion picture actor who deserved his Hollywood star. He did not do well as a replacement for Trump on the TV show, "The Apprentice."   "As ratings sank, the President poked fun at his successor, who in turn blamed Trump's involvement as an executive producer for scaring away sponsors and viewers." Of course WeeD's presidential ratings were climbing during the twittering between these two Republicans. The former California Governor has since quit the show after just one season and insists he won't be back."

 


In leaving Schwarzenegger did say that the  Donald's baited tweets were not an influen
ce in his decision and that he simply wondered how  such a busy individual could spend so much time following a trivial pursuit. He has promised to remain on line, especially when it comes to the President's environmental issues: "I can fire back and say, 'Are you really sure about this? Do you want to go and bring coal mines back to the coal industry? This industry's dying. Are you gonna bring back pagers... or buggies and horses...?' It's just crazy." Mining coal can itself be an ugly business as our Stellarton Mine Disaster made clear.  Ugly, ugly, ugly.




More recently, Alec successfully parodied Sessions.  Amazing, amazing, amazing.



It is an uncomfortable fact that not all of his critics are US citizens, and some of them have big working-class hands.



That dislike has shifted a bit since than madcap missile strike, but wait a bit?



While Trump does not quite understand his supporters, the reverse is true. There are, of course, no ultimate winners in the political game, which has parallels in the board-game Monopoly.



Speaking of markets: The Financial Times top stories for April 11 were, 1. Unease grows about bets on market stability; 2. US stocks edge higher despite geopolitical concerns.  In fifth position is this headline, Amazon.com climbs as beneficiary of "retail apocalypse.



With friends like this in the religious right, why worry?



Unless your afraid of getting farce in the face.  These cartoonists and gag writers probably should be worried, but that's not in their work ethic. There is guilt by association?



With truth bowing constantly to fiction every image and statement gains weight.




As an example, this just in. Of course, he could not commandeer Airfarce One. But British auditors are looking for him. Why?




It appear that a take-over might have been planned by really Ugly Americans, and alternate rule considered.  It is understood that WeeD resorted to subterfuge to avoid apprehension.



At home Her Majesty had just terminated the British House of Commons and reinstated the "divine Right of Queens."



Of course they did! Stupid is as dumber does.


Queen Elizabeth has never given a thought to dress code, and will rescind this order.




Borowitz, a well known American satirist, was believed by some readers.



Considering Trumps remarks the " concerning Elizabeth, the motto, "Make America Great Britain Again" seems fair play.




A two shot warning from the "Devil's Dictionary."




Whatever Donnie wants he'd like to get, but that has sometimes proved impractical.



We all know that Uncle Donnie does not like fraternizing with children and plain women.


Perhaps repetition is the thing wherein the media may catch the conscience of the Kingfisher. That's an ugly idea as well as an impractical likelihood.



WeeD has always lusted after an impossible ageless dream woman. Writing about Trump's wife, The New Yorker advised, "Melania appears to have internalized many aspects of Donald’s culture: his ahistoricism; his unblinking gall; his false dichotomies between murderous scofflaws and deserving citizens, women who ask for nothing and nagging wives. Like Donald, Melania doesn’t drink. She never breaks ranks, not even with a teasing criticism.



Again, ugly is subjective, subjective, subjective? That's Ben the cartoonist in the oval.

Again, The New Yorker: "Melania is as imperial as her husband, if not more so. Most aspiring First Ladies chase accessibility to the point of absurdity... Melania positions herself as aspirational, playing ice queen rather than soccer mom. Not only does she never joke about her husband; she is entirely self-serious. The most un-American thing about her is that she is discreet about her weaknesses." She does have some.



Rod does not think that Melania is a victim of abuse. Nor can she be characterized “a robot or hypnosis victim,” of some Rasputin or Svengali-like madman. Nevertheless the above psychoanalytical essay may suit some of the supporters of this strange government.




It does not seem that she'll be gobbled up by Trump's domineering ways and demanding personality. She actually seems the best partner and old man can expect. If there is a next-time-around, the pool of compliant females will be predictably smaller.

Meryl Streep in not well-behaved: "Hollywood is crawling with outsiders and foreigners and if we kick them all out, you’ll have nothing to watch but football and mixed martial arts, which are not the arts. But there was one performance this year that stunned me. It sank its hooks in my heart, not because it was good, it was -  there’s nothing good about it. But it was effective and it did its job. It made its intended audience laugh and show their teeth.It was that moment when the person asking to sit in the most respected seat in our country imitated a disabled reporter, someone he outranked in privilege and power and the capacity to fight back. It, it kind of broke my heart when I saw it and I still can’t get it out my head because it wasn’t in a movie."

"It was real life. And this instinct to humiliate when it’s modeled by someone in the public platform, by someone powerful, it filters down into everybody’s life because it kind of gives permission for other people to do the same thing. Disrespect invites disrespect. Violence incites violence. When the powerful use their position to bully others, we all lose.




“Women have one of the great acts of all time. The smart ones act very feminine and needy, but inside they are real killers. The person who came up with the expression ‘the weaker sex’ was either very naive or had to be kidding. I have seen women manipulate men with just a twitch of their eye — or perhaps another body part.” - Trump: The Art of the Comeback, 1997.
That is probably his version of the truth. "A playboy is a wealthy man with ample time for leisure, who demonstratively is a bon vivant (appreciates the pleasures of the world, especially women). The term "playboy" is sometimes used to describe a conspicuous womanizer." Heffner kept Playboy Bunnies at his Playboy mansion, so we guess that tis male figure must be the prolific Easter Bunny. Be Aware!


Possibly the ugliest thing about WeeD is his anti-intellectualism which feeds his delusions of grandeur and his alternate truth machine.



No, kiddies, this is not a Neverending Story, but those of us who have a soft spot for some Americans will continue for a while as the improbable unfolds. One really must believe in checks and balances on power and the concept that "to everything there is a season..." Nothing is, in fact, "better than it is now." Hopefully, we stand before a renewed Renaissance. These is always a chance!