If long-range weather forecasting was rocket science astronauts would be in deep trouble. We will get to that!



Canada's chief meteorolgist has apologized for making wrong long range calls something almanac gurus never do. It's guesswork, plain and simple with a very slight edge going to scientists. That June heat in SW USA was unforseen. The prognoticaters were just about right about centrral and NE USA. However, things warmed up more than anticiated over Alberta and Manitoba. This map was generated after one created back in May 2016 when things began to unwind.



Butterfly Effect or not, it hardly matters? You would not think these events would trouble Atlantic Canadians, but they have been going "Down The Road" to get work for decades. As they say Up Along, "There is no free lunch" just "Windows of Opportunity." My ancestors used to regognize the fact thet there were "Good Shipwrecks," although tat always seemed amoral, to me.


Which proves that the gods are not only amoral but mrntally unbalanced. This province once had a "rainy day" fund generated by oil revenues. Guess there was no sunny days escape clause in their contract with the spirits of nature. Of course that economic downturn was not directly related to the fire.  It's like trying to decide what percentage of blame goes to climate change when assessing weather disasters.




The Fort McMurray wildfire, also known as the Horse River Fire, was a large wildfire which affected Alberta and Saskatchewan. On May 1, 2016, the wildfire began southwest of Fort McMurray, Alberta. It swept through the destroyed about  2,400 homes and buildings and forced the largest evacuation in Alberta's history. It continued to spread across northern Alberta and into Saskatchewan, consuming forested areas and impacting the Athabasca oil sands business. The fire involved an estimated 590,000 hectares  before it was controlled on July 5, 2016. It was the costliest disaster in Albertan and Canadian history.




This fire, and others that followed was excaberated by hot weather, a lack of rain and too much wind. and left a long legacy of smoke plumes, neither good for man nor beast nor mortal gods. There were, of course, other contributing wildfires.

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Here is one partial example of that Maritime connection mentioned earlier. The whole story will probably remain on line for a bit.



The persistence of such perverse clouds is surpring. Notice that by this date there was a problem with lingering smoke in Nova Scotia. This was almost four and a half months after  that Alberta fire developed.



The only fires rivalling the McMurray disaster were burning in California and Nevada.



Folklore insists that the spring clearance of dead grass and small shrubs is a good idea, and in the case of southern US pine forests that exercise is still practised.  Even in the north, it  is recognized that wildfire clears the way for new forest growth.  The difference lies in the face that these hardwood trees have thick fire-reistant bark and softwood trees do not. They are candles! Pine leaves are slow to ignite, which you know if you have ever tried to smoke them in a roll of newsprint.




Tom understands the problem when trees are cooked before their time. An acre of forest is lost in this way with the opassage of every second.  Half the forest around a century ago are no longer there.  Fire created bad emissions which are climate-changers.  The losss includes animal and plant species, sometimes short-trm but also long term. When a forest vanishes the cool, damp  ground gives way to s warm dry environment  and an explosive fire locale.




Arnold was unable to solve some social and political problems but one can't fault him for noticing the obvious even though he has conservative leanings. Still this is a bit unreal?




This, by contrast, is reality. This is an elite team of twenty expert firefighters as opposed to Bradbury's firemen.



Volunteers from this province also went to Fort McMurray.




These people spent two weeks in the west on each tour and returned showing the stress of the work. In May Nova Scotia is not a dry province.


Amazing? Alernating drought and flooding. just like overseas.





That series of unfortunate evens cost Canadians a lot of money, but that's not the whole story. These days, we also have Lyme ticks in Nova Scotia and the health cost has accelerated since their first arrival.



And then there is the matter of human discomfort, which can be worse than that for the young and the old in our population.



See what I mean?


Here in Nova Scotia we still have cool nights, which makes me suspect our population will ultimately increase.




The  weather outside did not materialize in our jurisdiction. But these are "wacky weather" daze?
 


The warm colours, dry conditions; cool colours, wet. That's all you really need to know.
 


Again, it was more moderate Down East, especially in sleepy time hours.


That's the Canadian outlook.



When it comes ro the American forecast, the picture remains bleak. Notice that drought is predicted in the New England States including parts of Maine.





Scenes from the south west of the United States have made the news. Cattle ranchers there have had to sell off herds for lack of fodder.



Superboy had simple problems when it came to protecting his small town. A massive processing plant (see above) in this Nebraska town was put out of business this year from lack of animals.



On the east coast, high temperatures and lack of rain have\ brought troubles to Massachusetts. In August Wrentham imposed a complete ban on outdoor water use, while North Attleboro and Plainville restricted non-essential water use to one day a week.I n Plainville, outdoor watering was restricted to the day of trash collection, and all watering was banned between 8 a.m. and 6 p.m. Tohelp meet thid cris Plainville was forced to spend $696,150 project to refurbish a water tank. Much-needed rain had fallen there in July, but that had amounted to only slightly over an inch in a month that typically gets about 3 1/2 inches. Ninety-two percent of the state is in either moderate or severe drought, an area in which nearly 6.5 million people live. Only a slice of far western Massachusetts escapes the designation, though conditions there are considered “abnormally dry.”



Too bad we all make bad calls? Have never seen active "Black Magic." Guess the glacial melt impact lies ahead?




This is not a fire crime scene.




It is however a crime when youth is lost before its' time. Mr and Mrs George Dresch and their daughter Angela, had vacted their home on Staten Island, NY State, during Hurricane Irene and their home was loted while they were absent.



That is why they remained when warned to vacate for Storm Sandy. Only her mother survived. One other neighbour was lost.



Their home after the disaster.



Then there is this just in at the time of writing. Twenty-thousand people were rescued and at least eight people died after this August 13 downpour.



Back in January 26, there was Winter Storm Jonas which hit the Northeast with record snowfall. A June 19 heat wave which commenced brought records to Arizona. In that same month West Virginia floods ravaged 444 of their 55 counties destroying 1,200 homes.  California fires consummed twice as much acerage this year as last. The July heat wave killed four people in Philadelphia. And this was at a point only half way through the year, and omits Canadian disasters. Speaking of which...
 


And when heat is accompanied by high humdity levels it can be almost as uncomfortable as living of-planet,where there can be, admittely different, but equally trying environments.

NEXT




World-wide, July saw the tenth highest  recorded land and air temperature month in history. In Nova Scotia, that month was also hot and dry and and created wildfire disasters. Donna Crossland, who has a masters of science in forestry, and worked with the Parks Canada fire crew to fight wildfires that developed at  Seven Mile Lake and Maitland Bridge said, "Given that we already are situated in the area of poorest nutrients in Eastern North America, this is just an incredible setback in the forest ecology of the area."  Read on!